Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.499920 0.573132 0.652612 0.745209 0.850029 0.964906 1.100250
2025-02-16 0.366517 0.460439 0.571222 0.711151 0.882776 1.085986 1.344397
2025-02-23 0.279282 0.382052 0.512949 0.690999 0.925863 1.223945 1.629665
2025-03-02 0.218065 0.323140 0.466913 0.676346 0.971646 1.370808 1.948403
2025-03-09 0.177879 0.283952 0.439039 0.679613 1.040026 1.555700 2.343952
2025-03-16 0.143661 0.246116 0.405587 0.667977 1.083863 1.710947 2.718909
2025-03-23 0.122338 0.223723 0.390871 0.681091 1.165182 1.930372 3.216876
2025-03-30 0.101405 0.197526 0.365015 0.671168 1.207198 2.093047 3.646579
2025-04-06 0.087598 0.180963 0.352212 0.680417 1.281121 2.314866 4.198325
2025-04-13 0.072761 0.159329 0.326346 0.661655 1.302471 2.449365 4.617368
2025-04-20 0.065300 0.150714 0.323170 0.684070 1.400811 2.728872 5.322081
2025-04-27 0.059604 0.144590 0.323690 0.713364 1.515483 3.050377 6.138680
2025-05-04 0.052253 0.133513 0.312551 0.718077 1.584156 3.296976 6.850278
2025-05-11 0.045490 0.122363 0.299326 0.716274 1.639343 3.524248 7.551961
2025-05-18 0.039874 0.112763 0.287844 0.716365 1.698384 3.765993 8.310432
2025-05-25 0.034962 0.103855 0.276357 0.714499 1.752704 4.004084 9.088303
2025-06-01 0.031500 0.098023 0.271243 0.726754 1.840330 4.322325 10.069799
2025-06-08 0.027581 0.090011 0.259195 0.720060 1.882827 4.547049 10.873903
2025-06-15 0.025248 0.086076 0.257040 0.737929 1.986383 4.919143 12.043372
2025-06-22 0.022179 0.079172 0.245601 0.729678 2.024318 5.145171 12.905998
2025-06-29 0.020199 0.075246 0.241772 0.741299 2.114150 5.502563 14.110480
2025-07-06 0.017490 0.068227 0.227664 0.721993 2.120644 5.660503 14.859062
2025-07-13 0.016376 0.066442 0.228932 0.747009 2.249224 6.132232 16.415713